Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1197.883556 1352.692848 1522.071733 1721.496507 1950.317642 2205.171531 2511.235692
2026-01-04 963.422349 1173.010782 1422.200741 1741.835557 2143.114328 2633.027286 3280.747389
2026-01-11 830.684602 1063.330067 1355.768336 1753.367654 2284.469832 2975.907770 3954.787937
2026-01-18 735.899929 980.600642 1302.312045 1760.969089 2405.747093 3291.318030 4619.512606
2026-01-25 675.677070 932.283521 1283.107071 1804.589852 2571.698535 3677.029404 5423.814942
2026-02-01 622.930495 886.207062 1258.776752 1833.509970 2713.993927 4038.837202 6234.836852
2026-02-08 575.500082 841.438269 1229.601328 1848.803501 2833.144673 4374.293117 7044.224470
2026-02-15 536.446568 804.295294 1206.554524 1868.509885 2957.778681 4728.137745 7926.432337
2026-02-22 506.571415 777.659220 1195.879503 1904.710224 3110.205064 5141.123753 8962.272514
2026-03-01 462.988261 725.293177 1139.427751 1859.468303 3119.630912 5310.428490 9582.697021
2026-03-08 421.637027 672.793497 1077.774275 1798.552018 3093.746087 5411.950981 10086.236423
2026-03-15 385.953184 626.573180 1022.321191 1742.370402 3069.036174 5510.349906 10593.120883
2026-03-22 373.905012 619.467840 1032.889739 1805.021440 3270.701531 6058.979643 12092.974418
2026-03-29 356.416745 601.640228 1023.489731 1830.707917 3406.203344 6498.344465 13439.050028
2026-04-05 338.462577 581.397266 1007.830727 1842.652281 3515.424042 6897.273367 14758.614310
2026-04-12 321.580695 561.638297 991.199279 1850.698084 3616.982104 7291.655950 16129.514548
2026-04-19 311.311166 553.010341 994.119579 1896.793421 3800.952295 7882.341458 18054.895999
2026-04-26 299.764392 541.050375 989.648645 1927.358442 3955.145440 8426.960024 19961.394122
2026-05-03 287.326191 526.421097 978.776299 1943.522988 4079.546319 8919.734483 21822.503978
2026-05-10 276.343119 513.738698 970.604887 1964.352910 4216.269468 9458.089377 23897.720487
2026-05-17 268.002222 505.571112 970.670689 2002.620638 4396.743386 10124.143852 26440.902414
2026-05-24 251.349399 479.719850 932.975276 1954.795666 4370.732904 10279.653743 27580.533645
2026-05-31 234.340716 452.041884 889.561199 1890.412595 4298.333022 10309.199556 28361.152725